Daniil Ostapenkov vs Etienne Donnet Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Etienne Donnet has slightly outperformed Daniil Ostapenkov on second serves, with a win rate of 43.14% compared to Ostapenkov’s 42.92%. Could Donnet's minor edge here make a difference?
• Return Game Statistics: Donnet also leads in returning points against second serves, capturing 46.11% over Ostapenkov’s 44.71%. For first serve returns, Donnet holds a marginal advantage with 25.45% against Ostapenkov’s 25.29%.
• Break Point Defense: Donnet shows resilience under pressure, saving 50% of breakpoints, while Ostapenkov saves 44.76%. In tight situations, could this give Donnet a critical edge?
• Annual Performance: Over the past year, Ostapenkov boasts a higher match win percentage of 74.65% compared to Donnet’s 66.07%, suggesting consistent form.
• Surface Preference: Both players excel on hard surfaces, sharing a 70% win rate. Nevertheless, surfaces like indoor hard have been less favorable for Donnet.
• Competition Level: Both athletes primarily compete in Futures/ITF circuits, with Ostapenkov holding a slight performance edge at this level.
• Head to Head Record: Ostapenkov leads with a 1-0 win record against Donnet. Their last encounter on a hard court went in favor of Ostapenkov, 1-6, 7-5, 6-1.
• Deciding Sets: Donnet has a remarkable 79% success rate in deciding sets in the past year, edging out Ostapenkov’s 60% win rate.
• Opponent Quality: Ostapenkov has faced tougher opponents on average, with these players ranked at 287.59, whereas Donnet’s opponents averaged a rank of 410.79.

Editorial Prediction (October 16, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the players' recent performances, Etienne Donnet holds a slight advantage in second serve effectiveness and return game prowess. His ability to save breakpoints also indicates a composure under high-stakes situations.

However, Daniil Ostapenkov has displayed superior overall match success over the past year, with a higher win percentage. His experience of competing against stronger opponents may give him a psychological advantage coming into this match.

Considering their only previous encounter, which Ostapenkov won decisively, coupled with his slight edge in annual performance and opponent difficulty, there is a calculated lean towards Daniil Ostapenkov as the likely winner of this upcoming face-off.